Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 422.404330 481.762009 548.272823 628.659027 723.629541 832.801266 968.577275
2025-08-24 332.712557 409.019228 502.690316 627.481880 791.409847 1002.281357 1298.794302
2025-08-31 280.097804 361.301048 467.073266 617.457297 829.940009 1125.946949 1581.437432
2025-09-07 248.075150 332.525837 447.918581 621.002040 881.006375 1268.924514 1915.419280
2025-09-14 218.905150 302.563337 421.360497 607.525807 901.812422 1367.207825 2198.594400
2025-09-21 198.413161 281.802602 404.361947 604.192516 935.248152 1488.123026 2543.649688
2025-09-28 175.851878 255.198813 375.057009 576.832937 924.168326 1531.073569 2756.810441
2025-10-05 167.621941 249.218214 376.352530 598.345884 997.821285 1733.966659 3324.541920
2025-10-12 161.654509 245.959007 381.274387 626.085353 1086.277005 1980.647673 4051.175186
2025-10-19 151.838492 235.435967 372.941987 629.175156 1128.896840 2145.354404 4644.866680
2025-10-26 139.733541 219.997167 354.663741 611.737502 1128.569524 2220.656538 5047.731228
2025-11-02 129.913328 207.551831 340.326081 599.797203 1137.215467 2316.512165 5531.592680
2025-11-09 125.519026 204.205822 342.014183 619.372966 1215.980322 2590.370074 6600.710552
2025-11-16 118.608894 195.877703 333.899960 618.618178 1250.954895 2769.645453 7472.426762
2025-11-23 111.210175 186.057013 322.065331 608.745765 1263.684089 2896.391112 8233.444342
2025-11-30 106.171551 180.109342 316.962435 612.231257 1307.913491 3115.086927 9393.362004
2025-12-07 99.637495 170.897847 304.744684 598.982810 1309.752133 3219.406719 10199.027409
2025-12-14 94.778585 164.477634 297.454609 595.705716 1335.862485 3399.064346 11377.297352
2025-12-21 87.833246 153.621017 280.456980 568.805035 1297.592860 3380.968769 11759.220976
2025-12-28 86.289915 153.064087 284.263352 589.957504 1388.947205 3782.344305 14146.627652
2026-01-04 85.353286 153.607826 290.357973 617.228344 1502.181932 4288.452890 17368.957357
2026-01-11 82.258762 149.631911 286.587296 620.265689 1548.004284 4582.533695 19758.928174
2026-01-18 77.662366 142.334508 275.145193 603.123413 1532.430161 4656.520141 21020.236677